A Russian hacker recently published classified documents from the US, detailing the precise locations of hundreds of Russian air defense sites, artillery, tanks, and other vehicles, as well as naval ships. This intelligence is gathered from various sources, including satellite imagery, aircraft, and signals intelligence. This information is being used to track and identify Russian forces, revealing their plans and even strategy.

However, having this intelligence is not enough; Ukraine needs the manpower, leadership, and resources to act upon it. The city of her son is on the east side of the river, and it’s difficult to imagine Ukraine pushing across the river and taking Crimea without retaking the rest of the city. The terrain is flat, and the area is heavily damaged, making it difficult to establish a foothold.

The recent flood of Russian artillery fire has also made it difficult for Ukraine to advance in the west. However, there is a glimmer of hope in the east, where Ukraine is building up its forces, which could cut off Russia’s supply lines. The recent explosion on the Crimean bridge has highlighted the need for Russia to repair it quickly, and the less damaged eastbound lanes are now being repaired.

The war effort has slowed down, and winter is arriving, which will further hinder movement. Ukraine’s intelligence gathering capabilities, combined with long-range precision weapons, may give them an edge. On the other hand, Russia is relying more on mobilized personnel, who have less training and discipline than professional soldiers, which could put them at a disadvantage. The war is likely to become a battle of attrition, with neither side making significant gains.