LIVESTREAM: Belarusian Troops Gather Near Ukraine Border!

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August 25, 2024

Video Summary

We’re kicking off a little early, but that’s okay, because we’re just getting warmed up. Our original plan was to have a generic update, but we’re going to dive into the situation in Belarus instead. We’re talking about Belarussian troops massing near the Ukrainian border, and the big question is, what does that mean? Is it just more Belarusian nonsense, or is there real significance to it? We’ll discuss. Some people are like, “Oh, it’s all fake, it’s all fake,” but I’m less certain than many others.

We’re going to try to check out some concurrent viewer stuff, but we’re seeing what’s what’s going on. I’ll be talking about my own thoughts on the Belarus situation, and thank you to people like Shirt and all the others for tuning in. Oh, man, all right, Yukon, Shout out to people from Alaska and the Yukon, everywhere, including Puerto Rico, Northern Ireland, and Georgia.

Someone from Portland, Oregon says, “How about the F-16s being used?” Honestly, I haven’t seen much evidence of F-16s being used up close to the front lines. I suspect they’re being used for long-range strikes and may be used to take out drones. That’s my thesis, but because of Russian air defenses, it seems unlikely they can sustain operations near the outset of the conflict.

Some Ukrainian Su-25s were seen flying fire support missions, which I thought was interesting, but then Russia repositioned its air defenses to contain them. People are shocked by the number of Europeans joining in, despite it being 2 a.m. in Europe. We’ll talk a bit about the Belarus situation and get into it in a bit more detail.

People are asking, “Would a revolution in Belarus be likely?” To be honest, I don’t have a good sense of it. One thing to bear in mind is that the likelihood of success depends on if there’s a good replacement involved. Remember the American Revolution? The colonies were already self-governing at the local level, so the revolution was just about severing ties with the king. Belarus, on the other hand, has no clear alternative or opposition, no parliament, and no strong man who could come in and take power, so I’m reluctant to say there’d be a revolution.

Someone asks about the jet drones and their practicality. The million-dollar question is, how good are they at thwarting Russian air defenses? If they can fly fast, low, and small, they might be very effective. Don’t know much about the payload capacity of the jet drone, but based on what I’ve seen, it seems heavy and big, like a 737, which has a much higher payload capacity than a propeller plane.

The topic of NATO’s role in all this comes up, and someone points out that if Poland were to go to war with Belarus, it wouldn’t be a defensive strike. That’s a good point. NATO is a defensive alliance, and if you’re the aggressor, it’s not obligated to back you up. Oh, and NATO’s military budget is $504 billion, compared to Russia’s $300 billion. I’m getting tired, so let’s wrap it up. Thanks for tuning in, and next time, we’ll have some great Q&A sessions for our members.