Rumor: Russia FLEES Vovchansk Aggregate Plant!

According to reports, Russian forces had been holding out in the aggregate plant for four to five months, relying on resupply efforts from other Russian forces to keep them going. However, it appears that they’ve finally been pushed back to the outskirts of Vens. What’s striking is that there’s been a significant lack of reported Russian activity in the area, with the exception of a brief report of an airstrike. This suggests that the Russians may have been forced to withdraw from the area.

So, what happened? My theory is that the Russian command made the decision to abandon the area, realizing that the cost-benefit analysis wasn’t in their favor. They would need to commit significant resources to maintain their hold on the plant, which would yield little to no strategic benefits. Instead, they opted to withdraw their forces, bringing them back to Russian lines under cover of artillery and MLRS fire. This would explain why Ukrainian forces were able to regain positions near the plant, as reported on September 16th.

It’s not uncommon for military commanders to become fixated on a particular objective, even if it’s no longer viable. In this case, the Russians may have fallen victim to this trap, and it’s led to their withdrawal from the aggregate plant. As the conflict in Ukraine continues to unfold, it’s essential to separate fact from fiction and dive deeper into the underlying dynamics at play. Stay tuned for more analysis and insights from my team and me.