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Pokrovsk Looks Dire—Or Is It Part of the Plan?

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Combat Veteran Reacts
By Combat Veteran Reacts

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As a casual observer, the situation in Poos looks dire for Ukraine. In February, there were 31 Abrams tanks stationed in the area, but now half remain. Russian troops have been making steady advances for the past year, with the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the back foot. It’s unclear what the plan is to hold Poos, as Ukrainian troops in the area have been forced to retreat multiple times.

Despite favorable terrain, the Ukrainian military has lacked sufficient forces and resources to mount an organized defense. According to one analysis group, when trenches fell, it created vulnerabilities on the flanks, causing Ukrainian troops to fall back or risk being surrounded. The issue is that there’s a shortage of manpower and experienced units to provide organized defense.

The real puzzle is that Ukrainian brigades are available, but they’re not being deployed to Poos. Instead, a Ukrainian National Guard Brigade has been moved from the south, while the rest remain in reserve. This has led to a light defense, which is part of the plan, according to some analysts. The 47th Mech Brigade, with 2,000 personnel, has seen 50% attrition in its Abrams, but it’s unclear what the Russian plan is or how they’ll move forward.

Despite the Russian advance, the Ukrainian military professes that they won’t be able to capture Poos. The open terrain will slow the Russian advance, and the Ukrainians will focus on fortifying their defenses. The question is, are the Ukrainians intentionally allowing the Russian advance to creep forward, hoping to draw them in and then cut them off in a pincer motion? It’s unclear, but one thing is certain: the Russian advance will be slow and laborious.


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