Is Wagner going to attack Poland?
Video Summary
Russia’s Wagner Group, a private military company, has been expanding its presence in Belarus, raising concerns about a potential confrontation between Russia and NATO. The group’s deployment in Belarus comes after a June coup, and its exact purpose and size remain unclear, but it has been reported to be stationed near the Polish border. This has led to speculation about a possible war between Russia and NATO. However, experts argue that a direct war between the two is unlikely. Instead, Russia may employ hybrid warfare tactics, like those used in Ukraine in 2014. This could involve armed groups spreading disinformation and engaging in non-violent protests. Poland and Lithuania have deployed more troops to their borders, but NATO’s standard procedure is to ignore minor hybrid attacks, only escalating if the situation turns serious. Russia does not want a war with NATO, and hybrid attacks would only undermine its efforts to support Ukraine. The author concludes that it is unlikely that Wagner will attack Poland, but rather is trying to maintain a presence in the region to avoid being disbanded by the Russian government.
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