Forget about war fatigue: It will be a long war

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November 3, 2023

Video Summary

Ukraines Defense Chief, General Zaluzhny, has given an interview to The Economist, in which he expresses pessimistic views on the current state of the war. He describes the Ukrainian summer offensive as having yielded disappointing results and characterizes the war as stagnant, with Russia poised to win a long, attritional conflict.

He notes that the war has not developed as expected, and that Ukraine and NATO underestimated Russia’s military capabilities. He believes that the West needs to come to terms with the reality of a long war and to develop a new strategy to win. He also takes personal responsibility for the mistakes and miscalculations that led to the poor results of the summer offensive.

General Zaluzhny’s comments are a call to action for the West to stop discussing the war in terms of a quick fix and to start thinking about a long-term strategy to win. He believes that Russia has an advantage in this context, having recognized a long time ago that this war would not be won quickly, and that they have been preparing for a drawn-out conflict. He warns that the West should not underestimate Russia’s capabilities and that they will not accept a ceasefire without concessions.

The general’s comments are also a warning that the West should not assume that a ceasefire is just around the corner, but rather that Russia will continue to push its goals through a war of attrition. He believes that the West is already tired of the war and that this fatigue will lead to a re-evaluation of the situation, with a new focus on winning the war rather than just ending it quickly.