To understand the situation, it’s essential to know the history of Ukraine. The country declared its independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, but relations with Russia were complicated, with Russia even discussing joining NATO in 2005. However, tensions flared after the 2014 Ukrainian revolution, which saw the removal of the pro-Russian President Yanukovych and the rise of a pro-European Union leadership. Russian military forces, known as “Little Green Men,” seized key government sites in Crimea, which was then annexed by Russia.

Since then, a civil war has been ongoing in eastern Ukraine, with Russian military involvement. Despite rumors of a full-scale invasion, one never materialized. Ukraine is a divided country, with a significant ethnic Russian population in the east, making it a contentious issue. In recent years, Ukraine has been leaning towards joining NATO, which has Russia’s attention.

The US is also concerned about Russia’s actions, with President Biden warning of increased sanctions and economic consequences. However, it’s unclear if the US would get involved in a military capacity. The most immediate US response would likely be air support, but it’s unlikely to change the outcome. Alternatively, the US could impose economic sanctions, but even that’s uncertain.

Ultimately, the situation remains unclear, leaving us to wait and see if Russia will indeed invade Ukraine.