Learning from failure: Russia’s new strategy in Ukraine, 31MAR2022

Video Summary

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has been a fiasco, with many of their assumptions and plans failing to materialize. Despite initial estimates that the Ukrainian government would collapse and a demilitarized buffer zone would be created, neither of these goals has been achieved. Russia’s military strategy has been criticized for being based on poor intelligence, with their understanding of Ukrainian society and military capabilities vastly overstated. The Russian leadership’s failure to adapt to the situation has resulted in significant losses and a lack of progress towards their goals.

However, it appears that Russia is now beginning to learn from their mistakes and adapt to the situation. They have ceased offensive operations in the north and are focusing on the Donbas region, where they can use their armored forces to greater effect. This new strategy addresses some of Russia’s previous shortcomings, including logistics and morale issues. The Russian leadership’s willingness to adapt suggests they are acknowledging the realities on the battlefield and are willing to redefine their goals to achieve a more realistic outcome. This could potentially lead to a de-escalation of the conflict in the future.


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