Can Putin accept defeat? — Russia’s way out of the war. 04MAY2022

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The article discusses the consequences of Russia’s losing the war in Ukraine and the possibilities of escalation. The author believes that it is unlikely that Russia will recognize defeat and stop the war, as this would be seen as a loss of face by Russian President Vladimir Putin. Instead, Russia may escalate the conflict, mobilizing the masses and using nuclear weapons. However, the author does not think this is a realistic scenario, as it would have negative consequences for Russia and Putin’s regime.

The author argues that Putin’s priorities are maintaining power and control in Russia, and that he will do whatever it takes to achieve this goal. The author believes that Putin’s strategy is to create a narrative that Russia is fighting against a global threat, rather than a losing war, and that he will use propaganda to create this narrative.

The author concludes that the most likely outcome is that Russia will eventually abandon the war in Ukraine, but in a way that is presented as a victory for Russia, rather than a defeat. This would be achieved through escalation, which would create a sense of national unity and vindication for Russia. The author warns that the West should be prepared for this possibility, as it would mark a significant shift in the global landscape.

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