How is the war going? — Mid-December 2022
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The situation on the front lines in Ukraine has not changed much since Russia withdrew from Kherson in mid-November. Both sides are preparing for the next phase of the war, and the weather has been a hindrance to military operations due to heavy rain and mud. However, there are signs of potential breakthroughs coming soon. In the Luhansk region, Ukraine is slowly breaking through the Russian defenses, particularly around the towns of Svatove and Kreminna. This could lead to a significant breakthrough by winter. Additionally, Ukraine is pressing on the southern front, where Russia is trying to take the town of Bakhmut. While a Russian victory in Bakhmut would not be strategically significant, it would be a symbolic win. The situation is complex, with both sides experiencing setbacks and successes. The article also discusses the Russian campaign of targeting Ukraine’s civil infrastructure, including its energy system, which has been a pattern of attacks. The author concludes that the situation will not change much over the winter and that the war will likely intensify when the weather gets colder in January and February.
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