Russia on the offensive again

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December 10, 2023

Video Summary

The Russian military’s operational campaign in Ukraine is currently active, with a focus on recapturing territory in the Donbas region. The Russian military’s success in this campaign is surprising, as many expected them to be exhausted by the war. The Ukrainian military, on the other hand, has been facing significant difficulties, including a shortage of troops and resources.

The Russian military’s mobilization of troops has been successful, with a combination of volunteers, prisoners being released in exchange for military service, and migrant workers being recruited from Central Asian countries. This has given the Russian military a significant advantage in terms of numbers and resources.

The Ukraine, on the other hand, has been struggling to maintain its forces, with estimates suggesting that it is losing around 20,000 soldiers per month. This means that the Ukraine will need to rely on its existing forces to hold the line, rather than attempting to launch a major counteroffensive.

As the winter weather sets in, the Russian military’s offensive may slow down, but it is unlikely to stop. Putin has stated that his goal is to retake control of the Donbas region, and the Russian military has the motivation to continue its efforts in order to achieve this goal before the upcoming presidential election in March.

The Ukraine, on the other hand, may choose to focus on maintaining its defensive position and holding off the Russian advances, rather than attempting to launch a major counteroffensive. This is because the Ukraine may not have the resources or supplies to sustain a major offensive, and may want to wait for a more favorable situation in the future.